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After testing $42,000 in lead spend last year across 9 channels, here is what actually closed loans and what was a waste.

Works: (1) Past client database + referral loop. 38% of my closings. Cost: $400/year on a CRM that does birthday/anniversary/rate-drop alerts automatically. ROI: infinite. If you are not emailing and texting your past clients monthly, you are leaving most of your business on the table.

Works: (2) Real estate agent partnerships (but only the deep ones). 34% of closings from 4 agents. I work a quality-over-quantity model: 4 agents closing 30+ homes/year each, I run their buyer pre-approvals same-day and provide weekly pipeline reports. Do NOT try to "add 50 agents" — it dilutes your time and none of them send deals.

Works: (3) YouTube + long-form content. 14% of closings but highest-quality leads. I post 1 video/week answering a specific question ("how DSCR appraisals work," "FHA 203k draw schedule"). Leads come in already educated and pre-sold. Slow build (18 months to meaningful traction) but compounding.

Did NOT work: (1) Zillow premier lender. $2,100/month, 3 closings in a year. Lead quality is a race to the bottom on rate.

Did NOT work: (2) Purchased internet leads (LendingTree, Bankrate). $30-60/lead, 1-2% close rate, average 7 other MLOs already called. Burned $6k before I quit.

Did NOT work: (3) Paid Facebook lead gen without a funnel. Paying per lead with no follow-up automation is lighting money on fire. Works only if you have a 7-touch nurture sequence + calendar booking. Otherwise skip it.

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Excellent data. After running similar numbers across my team, I would co-sign every finding here. One addition and one nuance:

  • Addition — Realtor referral partnerships, when structured right, beat past-client referrals on volume (not margin). The trick is picking 3–5 agents doing 24+ sides/year and becoming their preferred lender, not being on a list of 20. Structure: weekly market-update email to their buyer pipeline, 30-minute quarterly business review, co-branded pre-approval letters in their name. Expect 8–12 closings/year per deeply-engaged agent.
  • Nuance — Zillow / Realtor.com leads work for a very specific LO profile: strong phone closer, speed-to-lead under 3 minutes, willing to work evenings. Most MLOs are not that profile, which is why the channel gets a bad rap. If you ARE that profile, it can be a 3–5x return on spend.
  • Agreed on social ad spend being mostly wasted unless you are running a specific purpose-built funnel with a downloadable calculator or guide as the hook. "Great rates!" creative will burn cash.

Practical next step: pick ONE new channel to test in Q2 with a fixed $2k budget, measure closed-units-per-dollar, kill it or double down. Do not test 3 at once — you will not know what worked.

Happy to run your specific numbers — call 970-457-9107 or email jon@homesteadcapitalpartners.com.

NMLS #2587985 · Licensed Colorado · For educational purposes — not a commitment to lend.

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For anyone building out their lead strategy — I did a breakdown on our LinkedIn comparing cost-per-close across past-client, agent-referral, Zillow, and cold social for our team's Q1 numbers. Past-client is still the unchallenged #1 — and it's the channel most LOs under-invest in because it feels "boring." The agent-referral tactical point from Jon matches what we see: 3-5 deeply engaged agents beat 20 acquaintance-level agents every single time. Quarterly business reviews with a printed scorecard are the unlock. Nobody else is doing them.

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The past-client-database as #1 producer lines up exactly with what I saw last year — 41% of my closings came from people I'd already funded or their direct referrals. The ROI isn't just infinite on paper, it's infinite in effort too. The call I make to a past client to tell them rates dropped 0.5 is a 10-minute conversation that often produces a refi.

The Zillow point I'd soften slightly. It depends entirely on your speed-to-contact. I tested Zillow Premier for 6 months — spent about $13k, closed 4 loans. Terrible ROI on the surface. But when I dug into the data, my average response time was 47 minutes. When I had a teammate cover the queue with sub-5-minute responses during her hours, the close rate was 5x higher on the leads she caught. So Zillow isn't dead — it's "Zillow requires a phone-answering human during business hours" and that's a hiring decision, not a marketing one.

YouTube is the one I keep telling myself to start and keep not starting. Your point about 18-month lag time is honest and probably why I haven't. But compounding is compounding. This is my 2026 goal.

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